Oscar Predictions 2012

 

If you know me it’s not uncommon that I wait till the last minute for everything. I love the Oscars despite their long stretches of boredom. I like to think I have the Academy Awards figured out (old, rich, jewish, white men). I’m pretty damn good at predicting the winners usually. Last year, I even outguessed Ebert by one and surprisingly picked the Best Foreign Language film pick despite it always being a name out of a hat.

2012 Oscars Nominations 

Best Picture
“The Artist”
“The Descendants”
“Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close”
“Hugo”
“Midnight in Paris”
“The Help”
“Moneyball”
“War Horse”
“The Tree of Life”

Who Will Win: The Artist
Who Should Win:  The Artist
Dark Horse:  The Descendants

A couple months ago this race was anyone’s game, hell even Tree of Life had a chance but nothing can derail the powerhouse train of “The Artist” beloved by some, overhyped by others, The Artist is a black & white silent gem winning the hearts and prizes of a majority of all the film awards this year. Don’t expect it not to go empty handed tonight.

Best Actor
Demian Bichir, “A Better Life”
George Clooney, “The Descendants”
Jean Dujardin, “The Artist”
Gary Oldman, “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy”
Brad Pitt, “Moneyball”

Who Will Win: Jean Dujardin
Who Should Win:  Gary Oldman
Dark Horse: George Clooney

A great category that always has a completely out of the blue random pick (Demian Bichir) but this category belongs to Dujardin who has also been sweeping up awards like nobody’s business. Clooney and Pitt turned in great performances and I’d love to see Oldman get recognized finally but this is no doubt the year of the french.

Best Actress
Glenn Close, “Albert Nobbs”
Viola Davis, “The Help”
Rooney Mara, “The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo”
Meryl Streep, “The Iron Lady”
Michelle Williams, “My Week With Marilyn”

Who Will Win: Meryl Streep
Who Should Win:  Viola Davis
Dark Horse: Viola Davis

Another tight category full of great performances that will no doubt be given to Meryl Streep’s performance as Margret Thatcher. While I think she is undeserving of a win, statistically she has been racking up more best actress wins this year than any other. I wish Viola Davis would finally get recognized for her talent, but there’s a reason I suppose that Meryl Streep has more nominations than any other actress.

Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh, “My Week With Marilyn”
Jonah Hill, “Moneyball”
Nick Nolte, “Warrior”
Christopher Plummer, “Beginners”
Max Von Sydow, “Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close”

Who Will Win: Christopher Plummer
Who Should Win:  Christopher Plummer
Dark Horse: Max Von Sydow

Another tight category that becomes a one-on-one for lifetime achievement between Plummer and Von Sydow. Both are extraordinary actors and deserving but Plummer has been cleaning up in his performance for “Beginners” and I see him picking up the Oscar as well.

Best Supporting Actress
Berenice Bejo, “The Artist”
Jessica Chastain, “The Help”
Melissa McCarthy, “Bridesmaids”
Janet McTeer, “Albert Nobbs”
Octavia Spencer, “The Help”

Who Will Win: Octavia Spencer
Who Should Win:  Octavia Spencer
Dark Horse: Berenice Bejo

A stronger category than the Best Actress one, this category has long since belonged to Octavia Spencer’s wonderful performance. I wish all of the ladies here could get recognition but Spencer is going to be tough to beat.

Best Director
Woody Allen, “Midnight in Paris”
Michel Hazanavicius, “The Artist”
Terrence Malick, “The Tree of Life”
Alexander Payne, “The Descendants”
Martin Scorsese, “Hugo”

Who Will Win: Michel Hazanavicius
Who Should Win:  Terrence Malick
Dark Horse: Martin Scorsese

A tough category to predict since the directorial awards have been all over the place. It is more or less between Hazanavicius and Scorsese and usually Best film and Director go hand-in-hand which is why my money is on the Director of the Artist.

Best Original Screenplay
Woody Allen, “Midnight in Paris”
JC Chandor, “Margin Call”
Asghar Farhadi, “A Separation”
Michel Hazanavicius, “The Artist”
Kristen Wiig and Annie Mumolo, “Bridesmaids”

Who Will Win:  Midnight in Paris
Who Should Win:  Midnight in Paris
Dark Horse: The Artist

Tough to predict but Midnight in Paris was highly acclaimed and I don’t think The Artist had enough of a script to warrant a win.

Best Adapted Screenplay
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxton, Jim Rash, “The Descendants”
John Logan, “Hugo”
George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau Willimon, “The Ides of March”
Aaron Sorkin, Steven Zaillian, “Moneyball”
Bridget O’Connor, Peter Straughn, “Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy”

Who Will Win: The Descendants
Who Should Win:  The Descendants
Dark Horse: Hugo

The obvious choice. The Descendants is 2nd to The Artist for Best Picture and this is usually the consolation prize.

Best Animated Feature
“A Cat In Paris”
“Chico & Rita”
“Kung Fu Panda 2”
“Puss in Boots”
“Rango”

Who Will Win: Rango
Who Should Win:  Rango
Dark Horse: Puss in Boots

I haven’t seen any of these films but Rango seems the most distinct and likable by most Award ceremony’s and critics to beat the other nominees.

Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
Bullhead (Belgium)
Footnote (Israel)
In Darkness (Poland)
Monsieur Lazhar (Canada)
A Separation (Iran)

Who Will Win: A Seperation
Who Should Win:  A Seperation
Dark Horse: Bullhead

An impossible category to predict. Usually the most obvious choice is never the winner but A Seperation has a lot of momentum behind it. Still the most well-known foreign film never wins so it’s anyone’s game.

Original Score
“The Adventures of Tintin,” John Williams
“The Artist,” Ludovic Bource
“Hugo,” Howard Shore
“Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy,” Alberto Iglesias
“War Horse,” John Williams

Who Will Win: The Artist
Who Should Win:  The Artist
Dark Horse: Hugo

Tough category but I think that The Artist is so much music to carry it that it’ll probably topple any other contender.

Best Original Song
“Man or Muppet,” The Muppets; Music and Lyric by Bret McKenzie
“Real in Rio,” Rio; Music by Sergio Mendes and Carlinhos Brown, Lyric by Siedah Garrett

Who Will Win: The Muppets
Who Should Win:  The Muppets
Dark Horse: Rio

50/50 shot. I chose Muppets over African Birds.

Best Achievement in Art Direction
“The Artist”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2”
“Hugo”
“Midnight in Paris”
“War Horse”

Who Will Win: Hugo
Who Should Win:  Hugo
Dark Horse: The Artist

Best Achievement in Cinematography
“The Artist”
“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo”
“Hugo”
“The Tree of Life”
“War Horse”

Who Will Win: Tree of Life
Who Should Win:  Tree of Life
Dark Horse: The Artist

If Tree of Life doesn’t win, I give up on the Academy Awards.

Best Documentary Feature
“Hell and Back Again”
“If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front”
“Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory”
“Pina”
“Undefeated”

Who Will Win:  Paradise 3
Who Should Win:  Paradise 3
Dark Horse: Pina

A hard category to pick. Pretty much anyone’s game. 

Best Documentary Short Subject
“The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil Rights Movement?”
“God Is the Bigger Elvis”
“Incident in New Baghdad”
“Saving Face”
“The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom”

Who Will Win: The Barber of Birmingham

Random pick.

Best Animated Short Film
Dimanche/Sunday
The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore
La Luna
A Morning Stroll
Wild Life

Who Will Win: La Luna

Best Live Action Short Film
“Pentecost”
“Raju”
“The Shore”
“Time Freak”
“Tuba Atlantic”

Who Will Win: Raju

Best Achievement in Visual Effects
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2”
“Hugo”
“Real Steel”
“Rise of the Planet of the Apes”
“Transformers: Dark of the Moon”

Who Will Win: Harry Potter
Who Should Win:  Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Dark Horse: Rise of the Planet of the Apes

Harry Potter seems to be the fan favorite and also the top choice. I won’t complain.

Best Achievement in Costume Design
“Anonymous”
“The Artist”
“Hugo”
“Jane Eyre”
“W.E.”

Who Will Win: Jane Eyre
Who Should Win:  The Artist
Dark Horse: W.E

Always pick the period piece. W.E. may have a chance though. eh.

Best Achievement in Makeup
“Albert Nobbs”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2”
“The Iron Lady”

Who Will Win: Harry Potter
Who Should Win:  Harry Potter
Dark Horse: Albert Nobbs

Best Achievement in Sound Editing
“Drive”
“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo”
“Hugo”
“Transformers: Dark of the Moon”
“War Horse”

Best Achievement in Sound Mixing
“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo”
“Hugo”
“Moneyball”
“Transformers: Dark of the Moon”
“War Horse”

Who Will Win: Hugo
Who Should Win:  Hugo/Drive
Dark Horse: Transformers: Dark of the Moon

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20 Best Movie Moments of 2011

THE 20 BEST MOVIE MOMENTS OF 2011

Here’s a list that was almost as difficult to make as my best movies of the year. I wanted to focus on the individual scenes that stuck in my mind all year long and were worth mentioning whether or not the movie was amazing or sub-par but included a moment of amazing filmmaking and had a scene that combined amazing technical skill from behind-the-camera, fantastic acting in front of it and combined to create something beautifully memorable. 2011 had many scenes to chose from and I wish I could have included all of them but at the risk of going insane I tried to limit myself to only twenty when I could have easily made it to 30.

(In Alphabetical order)

WARNING: SPOILERS AHEAD FOR ALL MOVIES MENTIONED

Adjustment Bureau – The Bathroom Meeting

The Adjustment Bureau was a good sci-fi/romance diversion released early in the year and quickly forgotten about. The best thing the movie had going for it was the dynamite sexual chemistry between Matt Damon and Emily Blunt which made a lot of the ridiculousness easier to swallow (Magic Hats). In this scene early on in the film, Matt Damon loses his campaign and runs into Emily Blunt’s character hiding in the men’s room where they have a verbal tennis match with sexual tension bursting off the screen. The scene inspires Matt Damon’s character to give a dynamic speech and gives the audience a reason to care about these characters.

Another Earth –  The story of the Russian Cosmonaut

Brit Marling really got to showcase her acting ability in Another Earth with the juicy role of a MIT student who kills a family in a drunk driving accident. In probably the best scene to show her wonderful acting and great independent filmmaking is a scene where her character is still pretending to be a cleaning lady for the man whose family she killed and transfixes the audience with a short monologue about a russian cosmonaut who starts to go insane from hearing a sound in the loneliness in space. Metaphorical and beautifully told, this is probably Marling’s best example of her as the next best thing.

The Artist – Uggie rescues George

For being a seemingly lighthearted silent, black and white film about Hollywood, The Artist delves into some dark themes of depression, pride, and loneliness. When our main character George Valentin (Jean Dujardin) looks over his old films while drinking, he gets fed up and decides to destroy all his copies of his films, finally feeling washed up and unwittingly starts a fire in his old home. Luckily, his loyal companion Uggie the dog runs out into the street, tracks down a policeman and frantically warns  him about George stuck in the fire in true Lassie fashion. A scene that is a hilarious contrast to the dark subject matter but is also a great scene for the wonderfully trained Jack Russell Terrier who is just as charming and charismatic as our lead protagonist.

Attack the Block – Moses vs. the Aliens

A highly enjoyable genre hybrid of sci-fi/comedy/horror is the British film about a group of teen thugs who try to protect their apartment block from a group of big, black, alien monsters with sharp glowing teeth. The movie is full of many badass, well-crafted scenes culminating in it’s best scene when the group leader, Moses finally owns up to his responsibilities of his friends’ deaths and initiating the attack of the aliens by going on a kamikaze mission to blow them up in his apartment. He runs in a beautifully shot, slo-mo sequence backed by a pulse-pounding soundtrack to a nail-biting climax of blowing up the apartment. Once this scene happened, I discovered what all the hype was about.

Dialogue in clip is in German:

Bellflower – The Beard Tattoo

The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo” featured a disturbing scene of it’s main character Lisbeth (Rooney Mara) tattooing her guardian on his chest after he rapes her  as a constant reminder of him being a “Rapist Pig.” While disturbing as that scene, the scene in Bellflower that really got under my skin was when it’s main character Woodrow (Evan Glodell) is knocked out by his ex-girlfriend Milly, after she finds out about his relationship with her best friend and unwillingly gives him a facial tattoo of a full beard. The disturbing idea of being forever disfigured by someone results is a clusterfuck ending that features the memorable moments of The Medusa car gliding down the street in slow-motion and Woodrow walking down the street with a beard tattoo and fresh, bloody handprints on his shirt after his retaliation. Whether it was real or imagined it is correlated to Evan Glodell‘s solid acting and direction.

Bridesmaids – Shit on the street

The scene that was probably the best memorable and talked-about for most people this year is the scene that launched Kristen Wiig as a comedic force to be reckoned with and Melissa McCarthy as one of the funniest people of the year is the ultimate dress fitting gone wrong at a fancy bridal store after Kristen Wiig‘s Bridal party lunch at a Mexican restaurant that gives all its characters food poisoning and bad cases of diarrhea and has McCarthy shitting herself in a sink and Maya Rudolph planting herself in the middle of the street and shitting in an expensive wedding dress. Tasteless and raunchy? Definitely. But, probably the funniest scene of the year.

Carnage – Kate Winslet pukes

Carnage is noticeably a theater piece that gets great mileage out of it’s one location in a New York condo and out of it’s four seasoned main actors. The movie is full of awkward moments, tension, and intense arguments but the most unexpectedly hilarious and awkward is when Kate Winslet projectile vomits all over the living room of Jodie Foster and John C. Reilly to an almost absurd extent. The sequence has great buildup of the character’s dialogue with Winslet’s character complaining of nausea and it’s not often you see such a disgusting and raunchy sight gag in a dramatic theater piece. When such a skilled actress like Kate Winslet uncontrollably vomits in a film, it’s hard to forget.

Drive – The Elevator

A scene of cinematic beauty. Drive is full of memorable scenes but it’s most unforgettable sequence is where Ryan Gosling‘s Driver is in an elevator with Carey Mulligan‘s Irene and an assailant sent to kill the Driver. The scene represents everything great about the movie and it’s mix of dream-like fantasy and brutal violence. Once Driver realizes that he is in crosshairs to be killed, he grabs Irene, the lights dim and he gives her a passionate kiss that almosts transports them into their own element/world of their own that ends with The Driver subduing and crushing the face of the hit man until he is nothing but a bloody mess and Irene watches in horror of what he is capable of. A scene that people will study and try to replicate for many years.

Fast Five – Train Heist

Fast Five was big, goofy, fun and I loved every minute of it. Many people might remember the insanely implausible and fantastic ending chase scene featuring two cars attached to a bank vault plowing through the streets of Rio. As good as that scene is, nothing was as fun and exhilarating as the train heist sequence that for whatever reason had Paul Walker, Vin Diesel, and Jordanna Brewster heisting cars off of a speeding train onto a speeding truck. The scene quickly turns into a double-cross and ends up with Walker and Diesel defying psychics and jumping off of a bridge into a river below. Completely absurd and utterly insane was what made Fast Five so good. All the rules of logic and common sense were thrown out the window in favor of pure entertainment.

Not the full scene:

Hanna – One-Take Subway fight

People who have seen “Munich” know the badassery Eric Bana is capable of. Hanna was a well-made throwback to old school action/spy thrillers with an 70’s/80’s aesthetic that took us to different exotic locales. Director Joe Wright definitely went wild with experimental shots and camera angles and one of the best moments is a single, unbroken, one-take shot that follows Eric Bana through the streets and down the stairs of a subway station where he is confronted by multiple CIA agents and proceeds to kick all their asses in the same one-take. A seamless merger of art-house cinematography and badass action.

Not the complete scene:

The Help – Abilene gets fired

The Help was a very good film although a bit overly-dramatic and after-school specialish with it’s view but a movie with fantastic performances especially by Viola Davis as Abilene. At the end of the film when the book “The Help” is published to critical success, some of the Jackson Mississippi women make the connections to the writers of the book especially Hilly Holbrook played with perfect cold-heartedness by Bryce Dallas Howard. With a ridiculous scheme about stolen silver, Hilly’s last attempt at revenge is to get Abilene fired and arrested. When the two confront each other it’s a rewarding scene of two great actresses facing off and easily Davis‘ standout moment. When she quits, leaves and her last child she helped raise screams and cries for her as she walks away is a easy ploy for melodrama but damn if it didn’t leave a lump in my throat.

Martha Marcy May Marlene – Final Frames

Martha Marcy May Marlene is a complex thriller and a authentic deception of how it truly is to be in a cult and return to normal life afterwards. If it’s even possible to have a normal life afterwards. Elizabeth Olsen gives a fearless performance and the film features numerous memorable scenes and images including John Hawkes as the creepy leader Patrick playing a song to Martha. What stuck with me the most was the ending. The whole film grapples with Martha’s psyche which is constantly paranoid of being found by Patrick or any of his followers and leads to someone suspenseful scenes that have the viewer question what is real or in her head. Before her sister takes her away to get real psychiatric help she sees a young man watching her across her sister’s lake house and later on driving down the road, a man gets into a car and begins to follow Martha who sits in the backseat of her sister’s car with a terrified look on her face. Is she reading too much into the situation or should she be paranoid? We may never know, but the look on Martha’s face shows she’ll never truly be the same.

Melancholia – Opening

I wasn’t blown away by Melancholia like most people were but it did grab my attention immediately with it’s long 10 minute opening that features slowed down footage of Kirsten Dunst and Charlotte Gainsbourg on a golf course in beautiful shots that look like stills that are moving in a 3d environment or almost like an oil painting brought to life. It is undeniably beautiful and absorbing especially with the Tristan and Isolde score blaring in the background. It would work on it’s own as it’s own short film that ends in a beautiful effects shot of a planet slowly colliding with Earth. Fade to Black, roll credits.

Mission:Impossible – Ghost Protocol – Climbing the tower in Dubai

As thrilling as the Train Heist in “Fast Five” was, it couldn’t touch the nerve-wrecking levels of suspense from the Dubai scene in Mission:Impossible that has Tom Cruise scaling the world’s tallest building and nearly falling off multiple times and ends with running across the building jumping and nearly missing an open window. (He hits his head and I’m surprised he doesn’t get amnesia from the number of times he bangs his head in the film.) It is already a thrilling scene made even more intense knowing that Tom Cruise did a majority of the stunt himself. It is an exhilarating, nail-biting scene made even more intense seen in IMAX and known that Tom Cruise himself could have fallen to his death at any moment. A pinnacle of the Mission:Impossible series and of action movies in general. Although I did wonder how no one happened to see Tom Cruise scaling a building full of all open windows.

Moneyball – Hatteberg’s homerun

It’s amazing when a film takes a true story and the audience already knows the outcome but still manages to keep you on the edge of your seat. With the Oakland A’s on a winning streak about to win their 20th game in a row, they are up 11 to 0 and Billy Beane (Brad Pitt) decides to watch the game and break his superstition until an amazing comeback happens and the score is nearly tied at 11 and Billy Beane feels the walls closing in on him, sinking in quicksand, until Hatteberg (Chris Pratt), a recruited player at first base with no first base experience steps up the home plate and blasts a home run out of the park. It’s a stand up and cheer moment that pulls tension until your stomach is in knots that makes the home run that more rewarding, it wasn’t just a home run for Hatteberg, Billy Beane, or Oakland A’s, it was a home run for everyone who was ever an underdog.

Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy – Opening Scene

From the trailer you might think that Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy is a fast paced espionage thriller, when in reality it’s a slow burn drama that is given one intense opening sequence. Jim Prideaux (Mark Strong) is assigned by Control to go to Hungary to meet a General that will give him information about a mole inside British Intelligence. From the very start, something feels amiss and from Prideaux’s point-of-view we can feel in our gut that it is a set-up. Using Tomas Alfredson‘s stellar direction and use of editing and sound, it is a nail-biting scene where everyone might be a suspected killer out to get him. When the operation is blown and Prideaux is shot, it is a shocking sigh of relief but a scene that is a catalyst for the story and sticks in your mind for the rest of the film.

Tree of Life – Creation of the Universe

Tree of Life is a love or hate it movie and when I saw it, I knew it would touch on themes of the origins of mankind but what I didn’t expect was a near 20-minute abstract scene of some of the most beautiful imagery ever seen in a fictional feature length film. Director Terrence Malick and cinematographer Emmanuel Lubezki deserve high praise for delivering such a wonderous, awe-inspring montage of beauty of The universe and Earth. The sequence is a modern day companion piece to the opening of 2001: A Space Odyssey and ironically used the same special effects expert. The scene itself could be a stand-alone short film that could almost be a discovery channel or IMAX documentary. an unexpected surprise that whether you like the film or not, or whether you didn’t “get” the film or not, there is an undeniable beauty unlike you’ve seen all year or you’ve seen in your lifetime.

Not the full scene but a good HD version of part of it.

The Trip – Michael Caine Speaks

The Trip was a BBC miniseries that was condensed to a two hour drama that works primarily because of the chemistry of it’s stars Steve Coogan and Rob Brydon. A sequence that I saw early on in the year and still made me laugh out loud when I watched the film was the “This is How Michael Caine Speaks…” scene. While eating Rob Brydon talks about his impressions of celebrities being described as stunningly accurate. What results is a oneupmanship match of two outstanding comedians going from early days Michael Caine to old age Michael Caine that at first seems like a competition until you realize that it’s just probably the way they communicate their friendship. A hilarious minute and a half scene that is a highlight of a great movie and I still haven’t decided which impression is the clear winner.

Warrior – Final Fight

Warrior was a surprising sports drama that was cliche/predictable and still managed to be engrossing and entertaining even if it lead up to a climax that was known from the start and even spoiled in the theatrical trailers for the film. If you were like me, it didn’t matter and Warrior was still a satisfying, entertaining motion picture where the final fight was shot with equal brutality and compassion. Joel Edgerton and Tom Hardy deliver emotionally sound performances that lead to the ultimate form of masculine problem solving in the old tradition of fighting them out. Being a man with an older brother its impossible not to relate to the sibling fight that ends with neither a winner or loser but two brothers who finally settle their differences. When the song “About Today” by the National swells up it’s impossible for even the manliest man not to get a little bit teary-eyed.

Young Adult – Front Lawn Meltdown

Young Adult had some great overlooked performances this year especially in the likes of Charlize Theron and Patton Oswalt. Theron especially was both icy, honest, and pathetic. Theron is a character who writes those cliche young adult novels about girls in High School and after returning to her hometown to ridicule and make fun the people she grew up with, we realize she is just as clueless, selfish, and childish as a high school girl which results in one scene where all her plans for snatching her high school sweetheart away results in a hard-to-watch monologue where she explains to a bunch of partygoers, including her own parents, why she is such an intolerable bitch that becomes more or less an intervention than a tearful reconciliation. Theron’s stellar performance adds pathos to a character that is like a car accident happening in slow motion.

What scene did I miss? What was Your favorite scene? Comment Below.